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.: EDITORIAL: Division I Poll Reflective of Politics, not Performance

Springfield, MO , December 15th, 2005

By Randy Horner
Associate Head Coach, Missouri State
There’s an elite fraternity in college swimming. It’s called the CSCAA Top Twenty-Five and, I assert, it’s hurting our sport. Ten times each season, a select group gets to brag about its privileged position in the land of collegiate swimming and why?

We’d like to think it’s a reflection of our sport, of the top teams, their swimmers, and their times, but with each release it seems we find the same cast of characters, week after week, year after year. How can this be?

The fact is, it can’t. Teams rise, teams fall, that’s why we have competitions, but the current system of rankings doesn’t allow for these teams to emerge. It’s with this belief in mind that I sought to see how an objective ranking system might look. I asked:

  • Would it change the Top 25?
  • Are there teams being overlooked?
  • Are there teams over-rated based on the history of their program?

The answers? Yes, yes, and yes.

All times that are use were posted prior to December 1st, and the CollegeSwimming.com Power Point values. Are the values perfect? Who knows. NISCA has points, FINA has points and there’s nothing to say anything is perfect. What they are, however, is objective. Even the much-maligned Bowl Championship Series is recognizing this by moving towards a greater reliance on computer ranking systems.

Here are the results:

CSCAA Point Men's Team Power   CSCAA Point Women's Team Power
Rank Rank Points   Rank Rank Points
2 1 Stanford 258.55   2 1 Auburn 255.14
15 2 Florida State 256.12   3 2 Stanford 253.40
1 3 Auburn 254.89   14 3 Michigan 253.14
7 4 Florida   254.71   1 4 Georgia 251.93
10 5 Indiana 253.83   8 5 Southern Methodist 251.88
9 6 Minnesota 253.01   16 6 Florida State 251.38
6 7 Texas 252.32   13 7 Texas A&M 250.55
3 8 California 251.58   4 8 Florida   250.48
NR 9 NC State 250.14   21 9 Purdue 250.12
13 10 Northwestern 248.71   9 10 Texas   249.87
22 11 North Carolina 248.58   6 11 Arizona 249.09
11 12 Georgia 248.47   22 12 North Carolina 248.69
5 13 Arizona 247.45   7 13 UCLA 248.29
4 14 Michigan 247.28   NR 14 Clemson 248.23
NR 15 Clemson 247.17   NR 15 Kentucky 248.10
NR 16 Navy 246.69   17 16 Tennessee 247.14
NR 17 Pittsburgh 245.26   19 17 Hawaii 245.84
8 18 Southern Cal 245.10   5 18 California 244.09
16 19 Kentucky 244.33   11 19 Wisconsin 243.81
NR 20 Southern Illinois 243.81   23 20 Virginia Tech 243.73
NR 21 Texas A&M 242.82   24 21 Kansas 243.64
17 22 Virginia 242.75   10 22 Southern Cal 243.16
20 23 Ohio State 242.08   15 23 Indiana 242.80
23 24 Penn State 241.35   NR 24 Minnesota 242.79
25 25 Wisconsin 240.77   NR 25 Notre Dame 242.78
24 26 Missouri 240.58   12 26 Penn State 242.72
14 27 Purdue 240.31   18 27 Virginia 242.24
NR 28 Southern Methodist  240.18   NR 28 Denver 232.73
NR 29 Virginia Tech 240.12   21 29 Arizona State 231.08
NR 30 BYU 239.72   NR 30 Toledo 228.13
NR 31 Missouri State 239.37   NR 31 UMBC 227.88
18 32 Notre Dame 237.12   NR 32 UC-Irvine 227.65
12 33 Tennessee 234.50   20 33 Washington 219.10
21 34 Alabama 230.73        
               

When you look at the top ten, the results aren’t entirely surprising. On both the men’s and women’s sides we see most of the usual suspects. In fact, on the women’s side we see that most teams represented score well in on the point values. Only four teams pop up using the statistical measure and two of those – Minnesota and Notre Dame – have been jumping on and off the CSCAA’s Top 25 all season long. Why the hegemony? Perhaps because at fourteen scholarships, there’s a limited number of institutions that can fully fund a program.

On the men’s side, with fewer scholarships needed to be competitive, several teams are deserving of consideration. But how do they get into the top twenty five? One option would be to beat a top twenty-five team. Of course, Southern Illinois did just that, topping Wisconsin earlier this season, but is that reflected in the poll? Nope. How about Texas A&M who knocked off #13 Northwestern after stumbling to Big 12 rival Missouri. How about having top swimmers? NC State has one of the best and some of the fastest relays around, yet they don’t deserve a mention in the coaches’ poll. Using the data here, you could assert that NC State is the most under-rated men’s program while Tennessee, ranked 12th by the coaches, falls to 33rd by the computers.

Taken together, its obvious that the current system is tragically flawed. In football, sixty-two coaches get a voice but in swimming eight people dictate the pecking order for our sport. In fact, look at the latest women’s poll. All eight voters, with one exception, picked the top six in exactly the same order. Georgia got eight first place votes, Auburn eight second-place votes, Stanford eight third-place votes, Florida eight fourth-place votes and only one person that picked Cal-Berkeley over Arizona. You have to wonder what that person was thinking. Was he (there’s only one woman voter after all) an independent thinker or did he just forget to drink the Kool Aid?

Why can’t we have a system that can rank every team in the nation, from top to bottom? We should reward teams that swim fast, not those living off years past. Instead we perpetuate the good-old-boy’s network. CollegeSwimming.com, with its Mid-Major poll, has done a great thing to give voice to provide an objective ranking system, but I challenge CollegeSwimming.com and the CSCAA to step up to the plate and provide an equitable way of ranking programs.


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